Teams boasting explosive offenses clash in the 2020 Camellia Bowl when the Marshall Thundering Herd meet the Buffalo Bulls on Friday. Marshall (7-2), which finished first in the Conference USA East Division at 4-1, is coming off a 22-13 loss to UAB in the Conference USA Championship Game on Dec. 18. Buffalo (5-1), which won the Mid-American Conference East Division at 5-0, dropped a 38-28 decision to Ball State in the MAC Championship Game.
Kickoff from the Cramton Bowl in Montgomery, Ala., is set for 2:30 p.m. ET. Marshall leads the all-time series 8-1. The Bulls are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Marshall vs. Buffalo odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 54. Before making any Buffalo vs. Marshall picks, check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters bowl season a sizzling 55-35 on all top-rated picks, returning over $500. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Buffalo vs. Marshall in the Camellia Bowl 2020. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for Marshall vs. Buffalo:
- Marshall vs. Buffalo spread: Buffalo -5.5
- Marshall vs. Buffalo over-under: 54 points
- Marshall vs. Buffalo money line: Marshall +180, Buffalo -210
- MAR: The Thundering Herd have won 32 of their last 34 games when scoring first
- BUF: The Bulls have been in the red zone 25 times this season and have scored 22 touchdowns
Why Buffalo can cover
The Bulls have used big plays to get the jump on their opponents this year, scoring 14 touchdowns of 40 yards or more. Against Miami (Ohio) on Nov. 10, junior quarterback Kyle Vantrease had a 78-yard touchdown pass to Trevor Wilson and an 82-yard TD pass to Antonio Nunn. It marked the first time in Buffalo’s FBS era (since 1999) that it had two touchdown passes of 78 yards or more in the same game. For the season, Vantrease has completed 80 of 127 passes (63 percent) for 1,186 yards and seven touchdowns. He was intercepted twice and has a rating of 156.5.
Junior running back Jaret Patterson, who is probable with a knee injury, has also been explosive with touchdown runs of 42, 49, 56, 57 and 58 yards this season. He has carried 141 times for 1,072 yards (7.6 average) and 19 touchdowns. Patterson has had four 100 or more yard rushing games, including a 36-carry, 409-yard and eight touchdown performance in a 70-41 win over Kent State on Nov. 28. A week earlier against Bowling Green, he had carried 31 times for 301 yards (9.7 average) and four touchdowns.
Why Marshall can cover
Despite that, the Bulls are not a lock to cover the Marshall vs. Buffalo spread. That’s because the Thundering Herd can also put up a lot of points, averaging 30.6 points per game. Marshall is 50-3 in its last 53 games when scoring 42 points or more. Freshman quarterback Grant Wells has put up big numbers this season, completing 152 of 250 passes (60.8 percent) for 1,977 yards and 18 touchdowns. He has been picked off nine times and has a rating of 143.8. He has also rushed 47 times for 175 yards (3.7 average) and two touchdowns.
Junior running back Brenden Knox has decided to forego this matchup to focus on the NFL Draft, but Sheldon Evans is a capable replacement. The redshirt junior scored four rushing touchdowns this season and averaged 4.6 yards per attempt, just shy of Knox’s average of 4.8 yards.
How to make Marshall vs. Buffalo picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, as the simulations show the teams combining for fewer than 50 points. It also says one side of the spread hits 60 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Buffalo vs. Marshall? And which side of the spread hits 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Marshall vs. Buffalo spread to back, all from the advanced model on a 55-35 run on its top-rated college football picks this season.