Alabama vs. Ohio State: National Championship Game Mon Jan 11th

This college football season comes down to one game on Monday Night in Miami Gardens, Florida. Hard Rock Stadium where No. 1 Alabama will take on No. 3 Ohio State in the College Football Playoff National Championship.

Las Vegas bookmakers opend this game with Alabama (-7) and O/U (76.5) and the line currently sits at Alabama (-8) with the total at (75).

It was reported earlier in the week that Ohio State was dealing with COVID-19 issues that could leave it too short-handed to play Monday.The Buckeyes had three games postponed this year due to COVID-19.

It’s easy to buy into storys on possible players missing this game due to covid-19 which is the real thing but didnt Ohio State have players missing due to the pandemic when they handed Clemson a lopsided loss?

TOP TEAM TRENDS

• OHIO ST is 24-11-1 ATS(S2000) – As underdog
• ALABAMA is 1-9 ATS(L10G) – [vs OPP] On winning streak of 4 or more games
• ALABAMA is 6-1 OVER(L7G) – Bowl Game – CFP NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

HEAD-TO-HEAD TREND
• OHIO STATE’s 42-35 win over Alabama (-7.5) in the 2015 Sugar Bowl in the Tide’s only SU or ATS loss to a Big Ten
foe in its L8 tries, and broke a skid of 1-8 SU & ATS vs. SEC opponents for the Buckeyes

TOP TRENDS FROM RECENT NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAMES
• UNDERDOGS are on a 6-1 ATS run in L7 national championship games
• SEC teams are 10-4 SU & ATS in national title games since ‘06
• SEC UNDERDOGS are 7-0 ATS in National Title games since ‘99
• Favorites of 5-points or more are just 5-9 SU & 3-11 ATS in national title contests since ‘99
• Favorites of 4.5-points or less are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in national title contests since ‘08
• OUTRIGHT winners are just 4-3 ATS in L7 national championship games
• Teams failing to score 21 points in national title games are 1-12 SU & ATS
• Teams scoring 31 points in national title games are 16-3 SU & 15-4 ATS
• OVER the total is 11-5 in national title game since ‘05 (5-0 L5)
• Bettors have lost EIGHT straight national title games when moving totals
• Breakdown of nat’l title total results <55: 10-3 OVER, >54.5: 6-3 UNDER

Prediction: OHIO ST (+)

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