- The Ohio State Buckeyes face off with the Clemson Tigers in the Sugar Bowl at 8:00 PM on Jan. 1st
- Clemson are just over a touchdown favorite in the rematch of last year’s CFP semifinal
- See the best player and team scoring props for the Sugar Bowl on New Year’s Day
The Ohio State Buckeyes will take their first step in silencing those who criticize their place in the College Football Playoff. After only playing six games this season, they were deemed worthy by the committee to compete in the four team playoff for the national championship.
Beating Heisman hopeful Trevor Lawrence and the Clemson Tigers will be no easy task though. The Tigers opened as 8.5 point favorites, but were quickly bet down by the early market. Current odds are seeing Clemson favored by 7.5 points.
Player props may be the way to go with this one and there are a few to choose from on either side.
Clemson vs Ohio State Sugar Bowl Player Props
|Quarterback||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TDs|
|Trevor Lawrence (Clemson)||24.5 (Ov -120 / Un -106)||334.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||2.5 (Ov -120 / Un -106)|
|Justin Fields (Ohio State)||19.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||254.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||1.5 (Ov -132 / Un +104)|
|QB + Running Back||Rushing Attempts||Rushing Yards||Total Yards|
|Travis Etienne (Clemson)||NA||76.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||121.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)|
|Trevor Lawrence (Clemson)||NA||57.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||NA|
|Justin Fields (Ohio State)||NA||54.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||NA|
|Trey Sermon (Ohio State)||NA||79.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||NA|
|Wide Receiver + TE||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Amari Rodgers (Clemson)||6.5 (Ov -128 / Un -102)||94.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||11.5 (Ov +100 / Un -120)|
|Cornell Powell (Clemson)||4.5 (Ov -158 / Un +122)||84.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||25.5 (Ov -115 / Un -105)|
|Chris Olave (Ohio State)||6.5 (Ov +110 / Un -142)||101.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||21.5 (Ov -110 / Un -110)|
|Garrett Wilson (Ohio State)||5.5 (Ov -120 / Un -106)||96.5 (Ov -113 / Un -113)||8.5 (Ov -115 / Un -105)|
All odds taken Dec. 30 from FanDuel and BetMGM
Amari Rodgers Can’t Be Covered
Game script is the single most important factor when considering player props. If bettors can nail down what “type” of game will play out, their jobs are made easier. Judging by the total of 66.5 points, this one figures to be a shootout – so every player prop listed is in play.
Ohio State presents by far the best offense that Clemson has seen this season. Only four teams in the country average more points per game than the Buckeyes. Bettors could argue that Ohio State didn’t play anyone and there is some truth to that but Clemson gave up 23 points to Virginia and 28 to Boston College.
The Buckeyes are head and shoulders better than those programs offensively so they are a threat to score 30+ points in this game.
The reason Ohio State scoring is important is because bettors won’t want the Tigers to sit on the ball at any point in this game. Only six teams in the nation throw the ball more than Clemson on a per game basis but it’s nice to stack the deck a bit with a shootout. If Ohio State can put pressure on Clemson to throw all night, the Tigers may put the ball in the air 50+ times. If that were to happen, Amari Rogers would benefit the most.
Amari Rodgers snags a 67-yard TD to give Clemson (-10.5) a 7-3 lead @betthepigskin
— Barstool Sportsbook (@BSSportsbook) December 19, 2020
It’s tough to go through game logs with a team like Clemson because the statistics are skewed by blowouts. A wide receiver on a team that is blowing everyone out will not always put up eye-popping numbers due to game script and playing time issues. Instead, it’s better to see how receivers perform in “big” games to get an idea of what to expect in a game like this.
Rodgers only played in two “big” games this year and both were against Notre Dame. In each game he caught eight passes and went for 121 yards in one and 134 yards in the other. In both games, he simply couldn’t be covered.
Ohio State didn’t play an offense of Clemson’s caliber all season, but they did have all kinds of problems with Penn State’s Jahan Dotson. Dotson profiles similar to Rodgers in the sense of being a low center of gravity, shifty type that can run precise routes.
The Buckeyes secondary still may have tire marks on them from when Dotson ran them over to the tune of eight catches for 144 yards and three touchdowns. If Clemson is forced to throw all night, Amari Rodgers is a real threat to put up the same type of numbers.
The Pick: Amari Rodgers Over 94.5 receiving yards