The Minnesota Golden Gophers travel to Carver Hawkeye Arena to take on the Iowa Hawkeyes on Sunday afternoon. The Hawkeyes have won three games in a row to improve their conference record to 4-1 while Minnesota has alternated wins and losses in their last four games and sit at 3-3 in Big Ten play.
The Hawkeyes are ten point favorites at home while the total is set at 160.5 points. The game is scheduled to tip off at 2:30 PM EST.
Minnesota is tough to figure out
The Golden Gophers are one of the more intriguing teams in the entire nation as you don’t know what to expect from game to game. Minnesota has already defeated the Hawkeyes once as well as the likes of Michigan State and Saint Louis. However, they have also dropped games to in-conference powers Michigan, Illinois, and Wisconsin.
While the losses aren’t exactly bad, they do represent a trend that the Gophers have established over the past few seasons. Minnesota is just 1-13 straight up against ranked teams on the road and just 6-6-1 against the spread on the season.
Guard Marcus Carr and center Liam Robbins are both elite offensively but Robbins has surrendered big games to both Hunter Dickinson of Michigan and Micah Potter of Wisconsin. In the first game against Iowa, Robbins surrendered 32 points and 17 rebounds to Luka Garza.
Iowa is an elite bird
Luka Garza is the poster child for college basketball this season and the reason why the Iowa Hawkeyes are one of the darlings of college basketball in 2020-21. While Garza has once again dazzled, averaging 28 points and 9 rebounds per game, it has been his supporting cast and teams defense that have made the Hawkeyes’ elite.
The Hawkeyes’ have won a trio of consecutive games thanks in no small part to the development of freshman Keegan Murray. Murray, a 6’8 hybrid forward, has averaged just a shade under 12 points per game along with over five rebounds per game. The development of point guard C.J. Frederick has also been paramount.
The Hawkeyes are 8-4 against the spread this season including 7-1 ATS at Carver Hawkeye Arena. The total has gone over in nine of their 12 games this season.
Minnesota at Iowa (-10) – Total: 160.5 points
Bovada has the Hawkeyes as 10 point favorites while the total is set at 160.5 points. Iowa is juiced heavily at -550 on the moneyline while the Golden Gophers are +375.
It’s pretty simple. Minnesota doesn’t defeat good teams in true road games. The Golden Gophers surrender big games to quality big men and they face the best in the nation when it comes to Garza. The question is whether or not they can cover a double digit spread and at home, that shouldn’t be a problem.
Minnesota has lost its three Big Ten road games by an average of over 21 points per game. Minnesota is one of the best offensive teams in the country and should cover the large spread. Take the over as neither team plays fantastic defense.
Spooky Express Free Betting Pick: Minnesota/Iowa OVER 160.5