NCAA College Football Betting Preview: Kansas State Wildcats vs. Texas Longhorns – Saturday, Dec. 5, 2020

Coming off a stunning home loss to No. 13 Iowa State, which ended their Big 12 Title hopes, the Texas Longhorns (5-3) will square off with the Kansas State Wildcats (4-5), who are looking to end their season on a high note by snapping a four-game losing skid.

Kickoff is at noon ET on FOX.

Texas Longhorns Betting Preview – Horns Up?

The Big 12 has been maddeningly inconsistent for bettors this season, and the Longhorns are the perfect embodiment of that. Two of their losses came to Top 25 teams, and it took a dramatic overtime comeback to beat Texas Tech. At the same time, Texas, while unranked, went to Stillwater and knocked off No. 6 Oklahoma State in overtime.

Part of the frustration has come from the inconsistent play of quarterback Sam Ehlinger. In Texas’ wins, Ehlinger has thrown 16 touchdowns and two interceptions; in losses, seven touchdowns against three interceptions. In wins over Oklahoma State and West Virginia, he threw for fewer than 200 yards in each game. However, Ehlinger has thrown for more than 235 yards in each loss.

Ehlinger is also the Longhorns’ leading rusher, with 388 yards and eight touchdowns. However, five of those eight touchdowns came in losing efforts.

Wide receivers Brennan Eagles and Joshua Moore have done most of the heavy lifting in the passing game. Eagles leads the team in yards with 428, while Moore’s seven receiving touchdowns are tied with Oklahoma’s Marvin Mims for the most in the Big 12.

Texas allows the 16th-most yards per game in the nation and the third-most points per game in the conference. To their credit, the unit has forced 12 turnovers. Junior linebacker Joseph Ossai projects as a second-round pick in the upcoming NFL Draft.

Kansas State Wildcats – Finish Strong

It’s hard to believe just a month ago, Kansas State was ranked No. 16 in the country. Four straight losses to West Virginia, Oklahoma State, Iowa State, and Baylor caused them to plummet out of the Top 25.

The injury to Skylar Thompson is the biggest reason for Kansas State’s struggles. Thompson was injured in the win over TCU, leading to true freshman Will Howard taking over under center. Howard has gone through growing pains, completing 52.5% of his passes (74-of-141) for 1,004 yards, six touchdowns, and eight interceptions.

Compounding the struggle is that running back Deuce Howard is the team’s leading rusher (517 yards, five touchdowns) and receiver (21 receptions, 389 yards, two touchdowns). The second-leading receiver is tight end Briley Moore (21 receptions, 326 yards, three scores). The lack of downfield threads to spread the field limit Kansas State’s offensive capabilities.

The Wildcats’ defense allows fewer points per game than Texas, but not by much (Longhorns 28.9 per game, K-State at 28.1). Defensive back Jahron McPherson leads the team in tackles and interceptions, while defensive end Wyatt Hubert has 7.5 sacks.

Texas at Kansas State Betting Odds & Lines

Texas is a ten-point favorite against Kansas State.

Free Betting Pick

While Texas has been inconsistent throughout the season, Kansas State has been far worse in recent weeks. The Wildcats’ offensive woes continue, and the Longhorns win and cover.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Texas Longhorns (-10)

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