Pick of the Day – 1/11/21 (Monday)

Record: 11-8-0 (Streak WW) Up 2.55u over 19 NBA picks (was 40-42-3 Down 3.01u over 85 KBO picks)

Last: San Antonio at Minnesota Under 233 -110 (Easiest cash of the year as the game finishes with just 184 points.)

Pick: Memphis at Cleveland 1H UNDER 108.5 -110, NBA Basketball, 7:00pm ET

I hope you tailed because there was no stress with the last pick. How often does a game come 49 points under the line? Let’s try to make it 3 in a row…

As of 11pm ET, this game’s totals aren’t listed on many books, but oddsportal shows it on a few sites, and it will reach the rest eventually. It’s possible they’re waiting on the status of Colin Sexton. We’re talking about the Grizzlies at the Cavs. Nine games into the season, Memphis has yet to go over the first half total. I see that trend continuing.

Just a few days ago, these two teams mustered just 91 first half points with a first half line of 106. I can’t think of any reason why this line would go up! Ja Morant isn’t walking on the court. Darius Garland is not walking on the court.

Cleveland is #1 in defensive efficiency in the league and Memphis is 10th. And these teams are 28th and 29th in offensive efficiency. That’s what happens when Dillon Brooks shoots a lot. Finally, Cleveland is 28th in the league in pace. Points will be hard to come by. I’d play this line down to 103.

Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck!

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