If you say, “One reason, and one reason only…” you better be right.
Narrator: He was not right.
I was on the other side earlier this season, but I got turned around: You have a slightly less than 50% chance of converting the two point conversion, so it’s reasonable to expect that going for two twice, you’ll convert once.
So you go for it on the first of two TDs that you need. If you miss, you are still likely to get it the second time and go to overtime. If you get it on the first TD, you only need to kick a field goal to win in regulation on your second TD.