UFC Vegas #12 Betting Prediction: Andre Fili vs. Bryce Mitchell

UFC’s upcoming event has a wild co-main battle that you should take the time to check out. UFC fans will be excited to see a featherweight showdown between Andre Fili and Bryce Mitchell.

Date: Saturday, October 31, 6 pm

Venue: UFC APEX

Watch on: ESPN+

Betting Preview: Andre Fili (21-7-0)

Fili enters this fight after coming off of a decision win back in June. Roughly half of his winning bouts have ended in a decision, proving that he can go the distance.

His fighting resume shows nine wins by knockout, three by submission, and nine by decision. In those wins, he has seven first-round finishes with a mix of knockouts and submissions.

“Touchy” has a striking accuracy at 36% and a grappling accuracy at 49%. He lands 3.90 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 3.97. This is almost a 1:1 here, but with not much in defense.

Fili has a takedown defense at 69%and a significant strike defense at 53%. He also averages 2.71 takedowns and 0.20 submissions every 15 minutes.

Betting Preview: Bryce Mitchell (13-1-0)

Mitchell comes in as the 15th best fighter in the featherweight division. He is currently on a four-fight winning streak heading into this fight, with all of those being UFC bouts.

His fighting resume shows that he has nine wins by submission and four by decision. He has eight first-round finishes, all by a submission of some form.

“Thug Nasty” has a striking accuracy at 59% and a grappling accuracy at 41%. He lands 2.05 significant strikes a minute and absorbs 1.36. This is a solid ratio, just not very aggressive.

Mitchell has a takedown defense at 33% and a significant strike defense at 58%. He also averages 2.13 takedowns and 2.70 submissions every 15 minutes.

Mitchell vs. Fili Betting Lines & Odds

The market likes Mitchell in this one, but it is appearing closer each day. For the moneyline, BookMaker has the odds currently placed at:

  • Mitchell: -165
  • Fili: +131

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

Both of these fighters have the potential to make this fight last through its entirety. Fili has striking on his side, but it appears that he does not defend well. Mitchell has solid accuracy but is not very aggressive and does not have any knockouts.

If the fight stays standing, Fili should be able to take this one. With a somewhat decent takedown defense, he should be able to handle a few attempts that Mitchell might throw at him.

However, Mitchell is at his best when he can work his opponents on the ground. If he can aim to keep the fight going on the ground, he can definitely win this one with either a submission or a decision.

Overall, Mitchell had a great shot here to defend his 15th best fighter ranking in the division and look to climb the ladder.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Mitchell wins via submission, at -165

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