UFC Vegas #16 Betting Prediction: Damon Jackson vs. Ilia Topuria

Coming up soon for the next UFC event is a featherweight showdown that will be a great betting opportunity. In the preliminary card, you can catch the likes of Ilia Topuria and Damon Jackson.

Date: Sat, Dec 5, 6:00 PM

Venue: UFC Apex

Watch on: ESPN 2

Betting Preview: Ilia Topuria (9-0-0)

Topuria is currently on a nine-fight undefeated winning streak heading into this one. His most recent victory was back in October against Youssef Zalal, which led to a decision.

His fighting resume shows that he has one win by knockout, seven by submission, and one by decision. He also has seven wins that have resulted in first-round finishes, six coming by submission and one by knockout.

He only has one UFC fight on his resume, so his stats are not the best yet to go from yet. In that fight, he had a striking accuracy at 39% and a grappling accuracy at 55%.

Topuria was able to successfully land five takedowns and attempted a submission in each of those scenarios. He also had a significant strike defense at 67% and was able to defend against any takedown from Zalal.

Betting Preview: Damon Jackson (18-3-1)

Jackson is currently on a two-fight winning streak coming into this matchup. His most recent victory was a submission against Mirsad Bektic back in September.

His fighting resume shows that he has three wins by knockout, 14 by submission, and one by decision. He also has eight first-round finishes with a combination of knockouts and submissions.

“The Leech” has been back and forth with the UFC for a handful of years but has finally landed his first win in his last bout. He has a striking accuracy at 36% and a grappling accuracy at 20%.

So far, Jackson has landed 2.20 significant strikes a minute while absorbing 3.05. This ratio should get better over time, but he will need to work at it.

He has a takedown defense at 35% and a significant strike defense at 43%. He also averages 1.22 takedowns and 2.90 submissions every 15 minutes.

Jackson vs. Topuria Betting Odds & Lines

The market has been rather steady as this fight approaches. For the moneyline, BetDSI has the odds currently placed at:

  • Jackson: +199
  • Topuria: -244

*odds are subject to changes

Free Betting Pick

Both of these fighters have experience in ending fights early and by submission most of the time. This matchup is great for fans that want to see a back and forth style.

Jackson has solid numbers, but he has been back and forth with the UFC and was finally able to record a victory. He will need to defend against the aggressive takedowns Topuria brings to the table.

Overall, Topuria looks like the better fighter here, but slightly. Look for Topuria to take this fight to the ground early.

Spooky Express Free Pick: Topuria wins via submission, at -244

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