Week 14 College Football Picks Against the Spread

Kyle Pitts stiff arms defender

Florida tight end Kyle Pitts (84) tires to get past Georgia defensive back Lewis Cine (16) after a reception during the first half of an NCAA college football game, Saturday, Nov. 7, 2020, in Jacksonville, Fla. (AP Photo/John Raoux)
  • Week 14 of College Football features a loaded slate of games on Saturday, December 5th
  • Liberty vs Coastal Carolina and Tennessee vs Florida are among the marquee matchups
  • Read below for the best ATS picks for Week 14 of the college football season

The 2020 College Football season is winding down, and there’s no shortage of great matchups for Week 14. The packed slate on Saturday, December 5th features several matchups with enticing betting value.

The Gators will continue their quest for an SEC Championship berth against Tennessee, while Coastal Carolina aims to stay unbeaten against Liberty. Over in the Pac-12, Washington and Stanford clash in Montlake.

Here are three ATS picks to consider for Week 14.

Liberty vs No. 18 Coastal Carolina Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Liberty Flames +7.0 (-104) +188 0 57.5 (-106)
No. 18 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers -7.0 (-118) -235 U 57.5 (-115)

All odds taken Dec. 1 at DraftKings

Flames Play Spoiler to Chanticleers

9-0 Coastal Carolina will aim to stay unbeaten against 9-1 Liberty in a huge G5 showdown at Brooks Stadium in Conway, South Carolina. Both these teams have been money-making machines this season, with the Flames being 8-2 ATS and the Chanticleers covering the spread in seven of their nine games.

These are two very evenly matched teams but the Flames hold a slight edge at the skill positions. Liberty dual-threat QB Malik Willis is having an incredible season and has accounted for 2,847 yards of total offense.

Coastal Carolina freshman quarterback Grayson McCall has also been exceptional with 1,747 passing yards and 20 touchdowns, but he isn’t as dynamic and lacks the game-breaker potential that could be required in a matchup like this one.

Another reason to consider betting Liberty is due to the Flames’ electric run game. Aside from Willis, the team has two other 500-yard rushers in Joshua Mack and Peytton Pickett who should go off against a vulnerable Chanticleers run defense. App State was able to gash Coastal for 204 yards on the ground in their matchup this year, and the Flames will follow in their footsteps to dominate the ground game.

Considering how even these two teams are and the likelihood of a one-possession game, there’s great value for Liberty being favored by a touchdown. They’ve played the harder schedule to date and will be better suited for a big-game setting due to recent contests against ACC competition. Willis will shine in the biggest game of his career and will be the primary reason Liberty at least keeps this one close.

Pick: Liberty Flames +7.0 (-104)

2021 CFP National Championship Odds Tracker

No. 6 Florida vs Tennessee Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
No. 6 Florida Gators -16.5 (-117) -715 0 61.5 (-107)
Tennessee Volunteers +16.5 (-104) +500 U 61.5 (-114)

Gators Continue Domination of Vols

The Gators will be going for a sixth straight win when they travel to Tennessee to face the slumping Volunteers in Week 14. Tennessee has lost five straight games and are averaging just 20.1 points per game, while the Gators are still in the hunt for the CFP and are averaging 43.4 points per game.

These are two teams going in different directions, and it’s somewhat surprising Florida isn’t favored by at least 20 points. QB Kyle Trask is the Heisman Trophy favorite and has thrown at least three touchdown passes in every game, while TE Kyle Pitts is back to full health following a concussion and coming off a big performance against Kentucky in which he made three touchdown catches.

Tennessee might be getting the benefit of the doubt considering they hold home-field advantage, but it isn’t much of an edge when you consider they’ve only won one home game this season and are 1-2 ATS at Neyland Stadium. The last time Florida visited Knoxville was in 2018 when the Gators easily won by a 47-21 score. In the matchup last season at the Swamp, it was all Gators in a 34-3 victory.

One mind-boggling stat for this matchup is that Gators’ QB Trask has thrown 34 TD passes this season, while Vols QB Jarrett Guarantano has thrown 38 TD passes in his entire career. There is a clear skill mismatch in this game and Tennessee simply isn’t playing for much at this point of the season. Florida’s defense has improved over the past few games, but it’s their dynamic offense that will exploit this weak Vols’ defense and ensure this game isn’t close.

Pick: Florida Gators -16.5 (-117)

Stanford vs No. 22 Washington Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Stanford Cardinal +11.5 (-113) +325 0 51.5 (-107)
No. 22 Washington Huskies -11.5 (-108) -435 U 51.5 (-112)

Huskies Continue Hot Start vs Cardinal

3-0 Washington will be looking to continue their excellent start to the season when they host 1-2 Stanford in Week 14. This spread seems low for a solid Huskies team that is averaging over 400 yards of offense and leads the Pac-12 conference with only 314 yards allowed per game.

Stanford has been forced to relocate to Seattle and Corvallis, Ore. for the next two weeks in response to a Santa Clara County ban on contact sports, which means they could have limited practice heading into Saturday’s game. They’ve failed to cover the spread in eight straight road games and were dominated 35-14 by Oregon in their lone game away from Stanford Stadium this season.

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The Huskies have a solid QB in freshman Dylan Morris, who has thrown for over 200 yards and two touchdowns in each of his last two games, but it’s Washington’s elite defense that will win them this game. Outside linebacker Zion Tupuola-Fetui has been a force for the Huskies, racking up at least two sacks and four tackles in every game thus far. He’ll create all kinds of havoc for Stanford senior QB Davis Mills and the Cardinal’s mediocre passing attack.

Stanford doesn’t have much of a pass-rush, which bodes well for the youngster Morris and his plethora of weapons at wide receiver. Washington also has three quality 100-yard running backs who should have a big day against a Stanford rush defense that couldn’t contain Oregon and Colorado’s ground game earlier this season. The Huskies are clearly the better team and should win by at least two touchdowns.

Pick: Washington Huskies -11.5 (-108)

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