Week 14 College Football Upset Picks

Taulia Tagovailoa throwing

Maryland quarterback Taulia Tagovailoa (3) throws during an NCAA college football game against Indiana, Saturday, Nov. 28, 2020, in Bloomington, Ind. (AP Photo/Darron Cummings)
  • Week 14 of the College Football season features a packed slate of exciting games
  • Last weeks Upset Picks were 2-1 and included a team you should fade for the second week in a row
  • See the odds and the best upset picks for Saturday within the story below

Upset picks with some extra upside are the name of the game this week.

Two double-digit dogs and a team that continues to get more respect than they deserve. Here’s a breakdown of three moneyline plays you should consider prior to kickoff on Saturday.

Maryland vs Michigan Week 14 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Maryland +4.5 (-107) +150 O 58.5 (-104)
Michigan -4.5 (-114) -182 U 58.5 (-117)

All odds taken Dec. 1st at DraftKings

Fading Michigan Remains Profitable Strategy

Another game, another opportunity to fade Michigan as a favorite. The oddsmakers don’t appear to be learning their lesson so you might as well keep cashing in.

Here’s a list of teams ahead of the Wolverines in the Big Ten standings: Ohio State, Indiana, Maryland, Michigan State, Northwestern, Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Purdue and Illinois.

That leaves Rutgers, Penn State and Nebraska as the only teams in the rearview mirror. Michigan needed three overtimes to beat Rutgers and just handed Penn State their lone win of the season.

There’s little to no evidence Michigan should be a favorite in any game right now. If you agree, wager on this game as early as possible. The line has already moved a full point and should continue to do so by kick off. The public is fading Jim Harbaugh and for good reason. You should do the same to kick start your weekend with a plus money win.

The Pick: Maryland Moneyline (+150)

Buffalo vs Ohio Week 14 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Buffalo -11.5 (-109) -400 O 58.5 (-112)
Ohio +11.5 (-112) +300 U 58.5 (-109)

Jaret Patterson Stealing the Headlines

Did you hear about Buffalo running back Jaret Patterson? He had 409 rushing yards and tied an FBS record with eight rushing touchdowns against Kent State. Oh, you did hear?

That’s right, everyone has that has ever tuned in to a college football game in their life.

It was an incredible game and undoubtedly one of the highlights of the season. That said, it was one game against an opponent that has allowed 152 points in four games this year. With Patterson all over ESPN, twitter and Instagram, the oddsmakers knew the Bulls would be a popular pick.

With that in mind they set this line well north of where it should be. Ohio is a good football team that has won two of three games this year. They also heard the news about Patterson and will be prepared to make sure it doesn’t happen again.

Whether or not they can pull off the upset remains to be seen but the +300 odds they are getting is too much value to pass up.

The Pick: Ohio Moneyline (+300)

2020 Heisman Trophy Odds Tracker

Oregon State vs Utah Week 14 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Oregon State +11.5 (-110) +335 O 51.5 (-115)
Utah -11.5 (-110) -455 U 51.5 (-106)

Oregon State Riding High After Upset Victory

Oregon State pulled off the upset against #9 Oregon last week and is riding a high after a huge win in a rivalry game. Don’t expect a letdown with another top tier opponent in Utah this week. To pull off a second straight upset, the Beavers will need another monster performance from running back Jermar Jefferson.

He had 29 carries for 226 yards and two touchdowns against the Ducks and proved he is one of college football’s best talents in the backfield. He is more than capable of handling a heavy workload which could be even more important this week.

Beavers starting quarterback Tristan Gebbia went down with an injury late against Oregon. It appears that injury is more serious than first expected. It’s likely Oregon State will turn to Chance Nolan as his replacement. Nolan is a former three star recruit with a big frame and should be more than capable of picking up the slack. On the bright side, if he does struggle there’s always the option of having him lean on Jefferson.

One other note here, Utah is on the short list of most disappointing teams in the country. Their road this year has been rocky and while it hasn’t all been their fault, it’s tough to imagine much positivity in their locker room right now. They opened the season with cancelled games against Arizona and UCLA. They followed that up with back to back losses against USC and Washington, before being cancelled yet again against Arizona State. If you were able to keep up with that, you didn’t hear the word ‘win’ mentioned anywhere.

The opportunity to fade a winless 11.5-point favorite seems too good to pass up. Get greedy and take the Beavers to make it back-to-back shockers.

The Pick: Oregon State Moneyline (+335)

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