What to look for in the Colorado vs. Utah matchup

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The biggest game at Folsom Field since 2016.

The No. 21 ranked Colorado Buffaloes have a Pac-12 championship birth on the line as they take on the Utah Utes in Boulder on Saturday. Wow, is that nice to write.

The importance of this game cannot be understated in regards to the CU football program. But let’s take a look at this game from a betting perspective.

The first and most important note of betting this game: the weather.

Those in Colorado know there have been flurries going on all Friday and they could go into Saturday although the Weather Channel indicates it will stop through the night and then pick up again around noon, which would be right in the middle of the game.

But it is expected to be a high of 28 which is, well, pretty damn cold.

These two offenses run the ball a lot as is, and that should be even more accentuated during a cold game that could involve snow.

It’s also important to note that these are two of the better defenses in the Pac-12 and they lead the conference in third-down percentage.

Everything is indicating that this is going to be a grind it out sort of football game which usually means low scores. Which usually means that the under is a good play.

And that’s exactly the way the public is betting this game. The total shot all the way up to 50 on Tuesday before it has plummeted back down to where it opened, 47.5.

As far as the spread goes, which currently sits at CU -1. The money was all in the Utes’ favor, sitting at 81 percent according to the Action Network on Friday morning when the line was at 2.5 and 3. Since the line has changed, however, so has the money. The Buffs are currently getting 66 percent of the money according to the Action Network.

If you’ve been taking Colorado every week, you are a pretty happy man as they are 4-0 against the spread this season to go along with their 4-0 record.

It’s hard for me to have an opinion on the side because I think it will come down to turnovers which makes it very unpredictable.

Some trends to look at:

  • Utah is 1-9 straight up in their last 10 games when they are the underdog in the game
  • Utah is 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against Colorado
  • Utah is 1-4 ATS in their last five games
  • The total has gone under in five of Utah’s last six road games
  • The total has gone under in four of the last five matchups between these two teams

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